ROYAL ASCOT 10 YEAR TRENDS

The following notes may help readers to draw up short lists for the races in this year's ‘Royal’ meeting. After each race name/detail a figure in brackets represents the favourites win percentage record in the race. The draw trends do not take account of the 2005 results when the meeting was held at York and it is too early to say whether the re-alignments of the track since the course was re-developed will make any material difference. The race order is as run in 2007.

TUESDAY

QUEEN ANNE STAKES (10%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 5 wins (7 since 1996) but doesn’t field a runner this year. M Stoute is the next best trainer in the race with 3 wins. 4yo preferred age group with 9/10 wins. Only one winner had odds of more than 7-1. Lucky stall #2 with 3 wins.

KINGS STAND STKS (10%): Now re-styled as the British leg of the Global Sprint Challenge and fittingly five overseas winners seen in recent years with French/Australian raiders worthy of particular note with two and three wins respectively. As regards the Australian winners all last raced 101 days earlier at Caulfield. All winners were 6th or better LTO. Lucky stall #5.

ST JAMES PALACE STKS (50%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 4 wins with overall 6/10 winners trained in Ireland/France. A last run in the Irish 2000Gns (usually run 24 days before) was noted in 6/8 latest winners. Longest SP seen was 8/1. Lucky stall #1 – 3 wins.

COVENTRY STAKES (30%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 4 wins, All winners also won LTO and had last raced 20 days+ previously. Since 1998 only one winner with odds above 8/1. Lucky stall #17 (3 wins).

2M 4F ASCOT H/CAP (10%): A Martin (Ire) is leading trainer with 2 wins and also trained placed horses in last two years. Irish raiders have taken this event three times in total. Only four winners (last four races) finished worse than 4th LTO. Horses carrying 9st 2lb+ have won 7/10 races.

WINDSOR CASTLE STKS (20%): All finished 1st/2nd in either of last two starts and last ran 9-35 days earlier. M Channon and J Osborne are leading trainers with 2 wins in the race although often won by the slightly ‘less fashionable’ but upcoming yards. Lucky stall #15 – 2 wins.

WEDNESDAY

JERSEY STAKES (20%): Three winners were 20-1 or longer thus don’t dismiss outsiders in this race. Nine of last ten winners last raced within 25 days with a last run in Newmarket’s King Charles Stks seen in four recent winners. All has either a 1st/2nd place on last two outings. J Noseda is leading trainer on 2 wins. Lucky stalls #2,3&9 – 2 wins.

WINDSOR FOREST STAKES (33%): New race in 2004 with 2 winners since trained by M Stoute. A 5th place or better seen on all past winners. Lucky stall #4 – 2 wins.

PRINCE OF WALES STAKES (20%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 4 wins albeit last one in 2002. All winners aged 4 or 5ys. All winners placed 4th or better LTO with 6/10 winning last race. Lucky stalls #5&7 – 2 wins.

ROYAL HUNT CUP (0%): Only three winners finished worse than 3rd LTO – being the last three races - whilst the earlier four winners all won their last race. All winners aged between 4-6yo with 5yo faring best with 6/10 wins and only one 6yo winner. J Fanshawe is leading trainer with 2 wins. Historically a high draw was preferred but the last five races run at Ascot all saw winners from the low-middle numbers. Lucky stall # 6 – 2 wins.

QUEEN MARY STKS (40%): M Channon is leading trainer with 3 wins. All winners had won their previous race. A last run at York 33 days earlier was seen in 3 of last 7 winners.

SANDRINGHAM H/CAP (13%): Ed Dunlop is leading trainer with 2 wins. Apart from last year all past winners finished 6th or better LTO. No winner had odds of more than 16/1. Of the last eight winners six had raced either 3 or 4 times before in current season. Lucky stalls # 2&13 – 2 wins.

THURSDAY

NORFOLK STAKES (3O %): All past winners also won LTO. Last run usually within 13-62 days. Generally well backed at 12-1 or shorter. Peter Chapple-Hyam has trained the last two winners. Lucky stall # 8 – 2 wins.

RIBBLESDALE STAKES (10%): S Bin Suroor is leading English yard with 3 wins. A 1st/2nd/3rd place LTO was seen in 9/10 of the winners. Four winners last raced in the Oaks at Epsom 13 days earlier – many of which didn’t handle the undulating track so form reversals quite common. Lucky stalls #1 – 3 wins, #6 – 2 wins.

GOLD CUP (30%): S Bin Suroor (3 wins) is the leading trainer. A last run within 17-35 days seems preferred notwithstanding Yeats was making a seasonal bow in 2006. All winners aged between 4&6yo. Four dual winners seen since 1988 but no triple winners thus Yeats has several key trends to buck! Lucky stalls # 6&8 – 2 wins.

BRITANNIA H/CAP (35%): J Gosden is leading trainer with 3 wins although most recent was in 2001. All winners finished 3rd or better LTO. Last four winners raced twice in current season finishing no worse than 4th on either outing.

HAMPTON COURT (LISTED) STKS (25%): Only 8 runnings of this event. No significant trends yet although most last raced 11-34 days earlier. AP O’Brien is the leading trainer with 2 wins. Lucky stalls # 8&9 – 2 wins. KING GEORGE V H/CAP (10%): M Johnston/M Stoute are the leading trainers with 3 wins each. No winner finished worse than 3rd LTO. All last raced within 12-56 days. 8/10 winners carried 9st or less Lucky stalls #5&7 – 3 wins.

FRIDAY

ALBANY STAKES (20%): Only 5 runnings of this event with all won by fillies who had won/been placed 4th or better LTO 18-32 days earlier. J Noseda & M Channon have now trained two winners each.

KING EDWARD VII STKS (70%): Relatively small fields provide excellent favourites record. H Cecil/M Stoute are leading trainers with 2 wins. All last ran within 12-37 days. 9 of last 10 winners also won their 1st race of current season.

CORONATION STAKES (35%): Leading UK trainers are G Wragg & M Stoute with 2 wins each. Winners generally 8/1 or shorter albeit two Geoff Wragg outsiders have won this event.. All last ran 19-47 days earlier with three of last five winners last racing in the English 1000Gns. Lucky stall #10 – 2 wins.

1M 2F WOLFERTON H/CAP (5%): 8/10 winners were placed 5th or better LTO. 4yo have best record with 7/10 wins. Lucky stalls # 6&11 – 2 wins.

QUEENS VASE (22%): M Johnston has now trained 3 of last 5 winners whilst M Stoute & S Bin Suroor are next best with two wins each. Apart from last year all had finished 4th or better LTO. Winners SP generally 9/1 or shorter. Lucky stall #10 – 3 wins.

BUCKINGHAM PALACE H/CAP (0%): Only 6 runnings of this event with shortest odds of winner seen being 8-1. All had last raced 6-23 days earlier. No other significant trends at this time.

SATURDAY

CHESHAM STKS (30%): M Johnston is leading trainer with 3 wins. Apart from 2 winners who finished 2nd/3rd on only start the rest of the winners finished 1st LTO within 10-35 days. Lucky stall #1 – 2 wins.

HARDWICKE STKS (10%): M Johnston is leading trainer with 4 wins followed by M Stoute with 2 wins. Most winners last raced within 14-44 days finishing no worse than 6th LTO. Lucky stalls # 1&7 – 2 wins.

GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES (0%): Upgraded to Gp1 in 2002. 4&6yo have best record with 4 wins each. All last raced within 39 days although a recent trend seen where 3 of last 5 winners raced 4 days before in the Kings Stand stakes . Long distance travellers from overseas have won 2 of last 5 races being trained in Hong Kong/Australia respectively.

WOKINGHAM H/CAP (30%): Only four winners started at odds below 11-1 and three of them since 2004. All winners had finished 6th or better LTO. 4&5yo between them have won 8/10 races.

DUKE OF EDINBURGH H/CAP (10%): M Stoute is the leading trainer with 3 wins. 4yo is preferred age group with 7/10 wins with all aged between 4&6yo. Winners LTO have also taken 5/10 races with a 6th place or better in last race generally seen. Lucky stall #7 – 2 wins.

QUEEN ALEXANDA STAKES (30%): M Stoute is leading trainer with two wins (both by Cover Up) Only2 winners finished better than 3rd LTO with 2005 winner being previously unraced. All winners aged 4-6 years old. Lucky stall #4 – 4 wins.