ROYAL ASCOT 10 YEAR TRENDS

The following notes may help readers to draw up short lists for the races in this year's 'Royal' meeting. After each race name/detail a figure in brackets represents the favourites win percentage record in the race.

Details are being updated on the evening before each days racing.

TUESDAY

QUEEN ANNE STAKES (10%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 3 wins (7 since 1996). 4yo preferred age group with 7/10 wins with all others aged 5yo. Only one winner had odds of more than 13/2.

KINGS STAND STKS (20%): Now re-styled as the British leg of the Global Sprint Challenge and fittingly six overseas winners seen in recent years with French/Australian/Spanish raiders worthy of particular note. As regards the Australian winners all last raced 101 days earlier at Caulfield. All winners were 6th or better LTO. 7/10 winners had odds in single figures.

ST JAMES PALACE STKS (55%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 5 wins with overall 6/10 winners trained in Ireland. A last run in the Irish 2000Gns (usually run 24 days before) was noted in 8/10 latest winners. Longest SP seen was 8/1

COVENTRY STAKES (50%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 3 wins. All winners also won LTO and had last raced 20 days+ previously. Since 2001 only one winner with odds above 8/1. 7/10 past winners were unbeaten in all races to date.

2M 4F ASCOT H/CAP (10%):All 10 past winners carried a weight of 9st 5lbs or less. Horses aged 4 & 5yo have won 8/10 races. 6/10 winners had odds in double figures thus always tends to be a difficult race to assess.

WINDSOR CASTLE STKS (10%): All finished 1st/2nd/3rd in either of last two starts and last ran 16-49 days earlier. J Osborne is the leading trainer with 2 wins in the race although often won by the slightly 'less fashionable' but upcoming yards. Several long priced winners seen including a 100/1 shot in 2008!

WEDNESDAY

JERSEY STAKES (10%): Two winners were 20-1 or longer thus don't dismiss outsiders in this race. Seven of last ten winners last raced within 25 days with a last run in Newmarket's King Charles Stks seen in four recent winners. All has either a 1st/2nd place on last two outings. J Noseda is leading trainer on 2 wins.

WINDSOR FOREST STAKES (19%): New race in 2004 with 3 winners since trained by M Stoute (no runner this year!). A 5th place or better on last run seen for all past winners. 4yo horses have won 5/7 previous renewals of this race. Past 5 winners had just one previous run in current season.

PRINCE OF WALES STAKES (40%): 5 of the last 6 winners were trained either in France or Ireland. All winners aged 4 or 5yrs. All winners placed 4th or better LTO with 5/10 winning last race. Longest winners odds were 8/1.

ROYAL HUNT CUP (10%):5 of the last 6 winners finished worse than 3rd LTO  - whilst the rest all won their last race. All winners aged between 4-6yo with 4yo faring best with5/10 wins and only one 6yo winner. A weight range between 8st 8lbs & 9st 5lbs seen for all of last 10 winners.

QUEEN MARY STKS (30%): M Channon is leading trainer with 2 wins although latest was in 2005 when meeting switched to York. All winners had finished 1st/2nd on their previous race. A last run at York 33 days earlier was seen in 4 of the last 10 winners.

SANDRINGHAM H/CAP (13%): Ed Dunlop & father John Dunlop are the leading trainers with 2 wins each. Apart from 2007 & last year all past winners finished 6th or better LTO. No winner had odds of more than 16/1. Of the last 10 winners 8 had raced either 3 or 4 times before in current season.

THURSDAY

NORFOLK STAKES (40 %): 9/10 past winners also won LTO. Last run usually within 12-62 days. Generally well backed at 12-1 or shorter - with last year's 16-1 shot being the exception. Peter Chapple-Hyam & Howard Johnson have both trained  two winners.

RIBBLESDALE STAKES (15%): S Bin Suroor is leading English yard with 3 wins. A 1st/2nd/3rd place LTO was seen in 9/10 of the winners. Just two winners last raced in the Oaks at Epsom 13 days earlier All rested at least 13 days since last race. 4/10 winners had odds in double figures at 12/1+

GOLD CUP (40%): AP O'Brien (4 wins) is the leading trainer - with Yeats taking all four victories for the trainer.. A last run within 17-53 days seems preferred notwithstanding Yeats was making a seasonal bow in 2006 as was Rite of Passage in 2010. All winners aged between 4&8yo. Irish/French trained horses have won the last six renewals of the race.

BRITANNIA H/CAP (20%):  9/10 winners finished 3rd or better LTO. 5 of the last 7 winners raced twice in current season finishing no worse than 4th on either outing.

FRIDAY

ALBANY STAKES (20%): Only 5 runnings of this event with all won by fillies who had won/been placed 4th or better LTO 18-32 days earlier. J Noseda & M Channon have now trained two winners each.

KING EDWARD VII STKS (70%): Relatively small fields provide excellent favourites record. H Cecil/M Stoute are leading trainers with 2 wins. All last ran within 12-37 days. 9 of last 10 winners also won their 1st race of current season.

CORONATION STAKES (50%): Leading trainers are AP O'Brien & BW Hills with 2 wins each. Winners generally 8/1 or shorter. All last ran 14-47 days earlier with 4 of last 8 winners last racing in the English 1000Gns 47 days earlier.

1M 2F WOLFERTON H/CAP (10%): 8/10 winners were placed 6th or better LTO. 4yo have best record with 8/10 wins. Only 1/10 winners had also won its previous race.

QUEENS VASE (33%): M Johnston has now trained 4 of last 8 winners whilst AP O'Brien & S Bin Suroor are next best with two wins each. Apart from 2007 all had finished 4th or better LTO. Winners SP generally 9/1 or shorter.

BUCKINGHAM PALACE H/CAP (0%): Only 9 runnings of this event with shortest odds of winner seen being 8-1. All had last raced 6-42 days earlier. Only 1/8 winners finished worse than 6th on their last race. Horses carrying 8st 12 lbs or less have won 7/9 races.

SATURDAY

CHESHAM STKS (30%): M Johnston/R Hannon are the leading trainers with 2 wins. Apart from 2 winners who finished 2nd/3rd on their last start the rest of the winners finished 1st LTO within 10-49 days.7/10 winners had won their only previous race whilst 2 of the other 3 had two previous races .

HARDWICKE STKS (30%): M Stoute is leading trainer with 3 wins followed by M Johnston with 2 wins. Most winners last raced within 15-49 days finishing no worse than 5th LTO - the last 5 winners finished 1st & 3rd on their last two runs (in either sequence). 4yo have the best record with 5/10 wins and oldest winners aged 6yo since 2001.

GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES (5%): Upgraded to Gp1 in 2002. All last raced within 66 days although a recent trend seen where 4 of last 9 winners raced 4 days before in the Kings Stand stakes. A race that often throws up a surprise winner with 3 of last 5 winners having odds of 20/1+

WOKINGHAM H/CAP (40%): 6/10 winners started at odds below 11-1 so the betting should provide a good guide. All winners had finished 6th or better LTO. 4&5yo between them have won 9/10 races.

DUKE OF EDINBURGH H/CAP (0%): M Stoute & H Morrison are the leading trainers with 2 wins a piece. 4yo is preferred age group with 6/10 wins with all other winners aged 5yo. 9/10 winners had a 6th placed run or better LTO. 8/10 winners carried 9st 1lb or less. All winners since 2001 had last run within 49 days.

QUEEN ALEXANDA STAKES (40%): M Stoute is leading trainer with two wins (both by Cover Up). Only 2/10 winners finished better than 3rd LTO with 2005 winner being previously unraced. 8/10 winners aged 4-6 years old. Last two winners were dual purpose (flat/jumps) horses from yards better known for their NH products! A single run in current season was seen for the last three winners. Only the previously unraced winner in 2005 had odds greater than 10/1.