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WEDNESDAY

4M 'NATIONAL HUNT' NOVICE CHASE (5%): . J O'Neill is leading trainer with 4 wins - all of which had run at least four times in current season and were placed at least 4^th on one of last two races. Of the last 9 winners all but one of them had finished 1st/2nd in either of last two completed outings with a 2^nd placed run last time seen in 5/9 winners. 7 year olds are the preferred age group having taken 5/9 races. With only 2/9 winners having SP's below 10/1 this is usually a race where punters need to think outside the box - particularly as many horses will be trying this marathon trip for the first time! Only 1/9 winners trained in Ireland.

2M 5F BARING BINGHAM NOVICE HURDLE (11%); 8/9 past winners had finished either 1st/2nd in last prep race with the other finishing 3rd. 6yo have best age group record with 5/9 wins - the rest were won by 5yo. Generally few real shocks with only one winner having SP above 12/1. 4/9 winners trained in Ireland with WP Mullins taking the last two Irish wins..

3M 1F ROYAL & SUN ALLIANCE CHASE (33%); P Nicholls is the leading UK trainer with 2 wins - both of which also won their last prep race A 1st/2nd placed run in last prep race (within last 24-53 days) seems essential. 7yrs is best age group with 7/9 wins. No winner in last 9 yrs finished worse than 3rd in any of its last three completed races in current season. Whilst many pundits view winners of this race as a future Gold Cup winner there have actually only been 3 such winners in the last 25 years - namely Garrison Savannah (1990), Looks Like Trouble (1999) and Denman (2007). All won the Gold Cup the year after their Sun alliance wins! 3/9 Irish trained winners (WP Mullins 2 wins).

2M QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE (44%); All were placed 3rd or better on last completed run with last 9 winners finishing 1st on their last completed run. A race where many horses double up in the following years, six doubles since 1984, although no trebles in the same period.. P Nicholls is the leading trainer with 3 winners since 2004. 4/9 Irish trained winners.

2M 5F CORAL CUP H'CAP HURDLE (11%); 8/9 winners carried 11^st 2lbs or less. All finished 6th or better on last completed outing with seven of last eight winners following up on the back of a win in last race. Irish trained runners have taken 3/9 races..

(FRED WINTER) JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE FOR 4YO (NEW RACE IN 2005) (25%);. All six winners finished 5^th or better on last outing (within last 37 days) with last five winning their last race also. Other common trend is that they had a 1st/2nd place on either of last two starts. Only 1/6 winners trained in Ireland.

2M NH BUMPER (22%); Irish trained runners have won 7/9 races with WP Mullins picking up 2 of these. 5yo is the preferred age group with 5/9 wins with all but one of the other winners aged 6yrs. Only 1 winner had not won their last race, finishing 2^nd instead, in previous run. Interestingly very few winners of this race (apart from Florida Pearl) seem to become top flight hurdlers or chasers with recent winners Cue Card & Dunguib both flopping the following year after being well backed in their novice hurdles!.Clearly the Irish horses are trained with this race in mind rather than longer term.