TRENDSETTERS GUIDE - Feb 8th
 
(2.00) 2m1f Novice Hurdle (50%): All four past winners had finished 3rd or better on last run and had been rested at least 16 days since last outing. All were aged 4/5yrs. Trainer to watch: M Hammond (won 2011).

(2.35) 2m Novice Chase (50%): All four past winners were aged between 6-9 years and all winners last raced some 11-94 days earlier finishing 6th or better.

 
(3.05) 2m4f Mares Novice Hurdle (25%): Again just four past races with all winners finishing 4th or better on last run (within 15-29 days). All winners aged between 5-7 years.

(3.40) 3m 1f Handicap Hurdle (n/a): New race in 2011.

(4.15) 2m 5f Novices Handicap Chase (n/a): New race in 2012.

 
(4.45) 2m Handicap Chase (10%): Not a particularly kind race for favourites with just one joint fav winning in last five races. All winners carried 10st11lbs or more and had last raced some 9-43 days earlier. Trainer to watch: M Todhunter (won 2006).

27th November - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist racegoers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race. 
 

• 12.50 - 2m 4f Nov Hurdle (28%): This race has largely been unfavourable for the well backed horses with only two of the last seven winners having odds shorter than 12/1. One winner was making its NH début and of the others the last 5 winners had all raced just once in the current season (within the last 51 days).
  
• 1.20 - 2m 4f Nov Chase (72%): Unlike the first race on the card well backed horses have fared well in this race with all seven past winners having odds of 11/4 or shorter. Another common factor for all past winners was a 3^rd place or better on their last race. 6yo are the preferred age group with 5/7 wins.
  

• 1.55  - 2m 1f Nov Hurdle (63%): The well backed horses have also generally fared well in this race with just one of last eight winners having odds greater than 5/2. Two of the past winners were making their NH débuts whilst all but one of the others had finished 3^rd or better on at least one of their last two races. 
• 2.25 - New race in 2011.
  

• 3.00 - 2m 1f H/cap Hurdle (28%): Race run seven times before although there are very few common trends to date. Oldest winner so far has been a 7yo and all but one winner carried a weight of 10st 8lbs or more.The last four winners had also won a race on one of their last three runs.
  

• 3.30 - 2m 4f (AR) H/cap Hurdle (42%): Race run seven times before and like the earlier handicap hurdle there are only a few common trends here. A 5th place or better on their last race being the most common factor. All past winners also carried a weight of 10st 4lbs or more and the oldest winner was aged 9yo.

Monday November 7th - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential winners in the current year's races. Brief details are listed below where they have been run at least three times before. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race.

• 12.50 - 2m Novice Chase (50%): Only run 4 times in this format since 2001. 6yo have won 3/4 races witht he other aged 7yo. No major surprises seen with all winners odds 9/2 or shorter.
• 1.20 - 2m 4f Novice H'cap Hurdle (37%): Older horses aged 7-8 years have won 6/8 past runnings of this event. Lucinda Russell's runners should be given respect as she has trained the winner in 2004 & 2009. Longest winners odds seen were 12/1.
• 1.55 - 2m 4f H'cap Chase (0%): Favourite backers have caught a cold in this race in the past although longest winning odds seen to date were 9/1. Nicky Richards & Martin Todhunter are joint leading trainers in the event with 2 wins a piece with both trainers having entries at the 5 day stage.
• 2.25 - New race in 2011.
• 2.55 - New race in 2009.
• 3.30 - 3m 3f H'cap Chase (44%): 8/9 past winners were aged 7-8 years with the other aged 6yo. All winners were fairly well backed with odds of 13/2 or shorter.
• 4.05 - Race resumed after a break of 4 years thus insufficient data.

30th October - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-10) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist racegoers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race. 

• 1.10 - New race in 2011

• 1.40 - New race in 2011

• 2.10 - 2M 1f Nov Hurdle (45%): Of the 10 past winners 4 were making their NH debuts whilst the remaining 6 had all finished 6^th or better on their last run. Longest winner's odds seen were 11/1. 5yo horses are the slightly preferred age group with 5/10 wins. Trainers to watch: N Richards (won 2006), J O'Neill & N Twiston-Davies (both won a division of the race in 2005).

• 2.40 - 3m 2f 'Cumberland' H/cap Chase (30%): Always a competitive affair and this year is no different! 9/10 winners were aged between 7&9 years with the other being a 5yo. A 5^th placed run (or better) on their last completed run was also seen for 9/10 winners. 8/10 winners carried a weight of 11^st 4lbs or lower. Trainers to watch: Lucinda Russell (won 2008, 2009 & 2010 with last year's winner Etxalar running again this year), N Twiston-Davies (2007), Sue Smith (2005 & 2001).

• 3.15 - 2m 4f Intermediate Chase (50%): The race tends to attact a small but select field with this year being no exception. Past winners were all well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter. Another common factor for 6/7 previous winners has been a win on their last completed race. 7yo's are slightly preferred with 4/7 wins whilst all winners had been rested at least 160 days since their last run. Trainers to watch: F Murphy (won 2007), Sue Smith (2004).

• 3.50 - New race in 2011.

• 4.20 - 1m 6f NH Flat Race for 3yo (25%): Race only run 4 times before so limited trends so far. There was a shock 100/1 winner in 2007 although the other three winners were well backed at odds of 9/2 or shorter. Trainer to watch: GA Swinbank (won in 2006 & 2009).

7th October - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist racegoers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race.

• 2.10 - 2m 1f Nov Hurdle (50%): Three past winners were making their NH racing debuts when winning this race whilst all others had finished 3^rd or better on at least one of their last two races. Apart from one of the debutant winners all others were well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter. 

• 2.45 - 3m H/cap Chase (42%): Race run only 7 times before with all past winners having also won at least one of their last six races.All but one winner carried a weight of 10st 13lbs or more.
• 3.20 - New race in 2011
  

• 3.55 - 2m 4f Novices Chase (33%): Prior to 2010 we had to go back to 2002 to when the race was run in today's format. The three past winners had all finished 3^rd or better on their last completed race. 

• 4.30 - 2m H/cap Chase (26%): The age of the runners has proved to be a good guide in this event with 8/9 winners aged between 7-9 years. The top end of the handicap is again preferred with 6 of the last 7 winners carrying 10st 12lbs or more. The race tends not to throw up major shocks with all winners odds being 8/1 or shorter.
  

• 5.00 - 2m 1f H/cap Hurdle for Conditional Jockeys (5%): A difficult race in the past for favourite backers although only one winner had odds greater than 12/1. All but one of the past winners had finished either 2nd/3rd/4^th on at least one of last two runs.
  

• 5.30 - 2m 1f NH Flat Race (33%): Only one 6yo winner seen since 2001 with all others aged 4/5 years. 5/9 winners were making their racecourse debuts. Trainer to watch: D McCain (won in 2006 & 2010).

Thursday 25th August:

Meeting first run in 2010 thus insufficient data available at present time.

17th Aug - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist racegoers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race.

Just three of todays races have been run at least 3 times before - they are:

5.00 & 5.30 - 1m 6f Handicap for Amateur Riders (0%): Race resumed in 2010 after a three year break having been run just six times since 2002. 7yo horses have fared well in this event winning four of the six races. All past winners had last run on the flat between 14-41 days earlier. Longest odds of winners has been 14/1. No jockey has yet won the race if claiming the maximum 7lbs allowance.

2nd July - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist race goers at Carlisle tonight. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race. The trainers listed have also won the specified races before and have an intended runner today.

• 6.00 - 6f Apprentice H/cap (33%): Only run three times before with all past winners finishing 4th or better on their last race (within last 8-17 days). Weights carried ranged between 9st & 9st 7lbs. All had odds of 7/1 or shorter.
  

• 7.00 - 1m Seller for 3yo (0%): Only run six times before but has been a nightmare for favourites so far. Indeed all winners to date had finished no better than 5^th on any of their last four races. All had run within the last 36 days.
  

• 7.30 - 1m Handicap for 3yo (50%): Only run four times before so trends limited. So far all winners were aged 3-5 years and carried a weight of 9st 10lbs or less. All were reasonably backed with odds of 13/2 or shorter. A 3^rd place or better on either of last two starts was also a common factor and all had been rested at least 10 days since their last race. Trainers to watch: M Johnston (won 2010), R Fahey (2006).
  

• 8.00 - 7f Handicap for 3yo (16%): Only one of the past six winners failed to finish 4^th or better on at least one of their last two races. A last run some 14-36 days earlier was a common factor.Just 1/6 winners carried a weight of more than 9st 2lbs. Trainers to watch: K Ryan (won 2006 & 2008), R Fahey (2005).
  

• 8.30 - 2m 1f Maiden Handicap (16%): All six past winners were well backed at odds of 11/2 or shorter having finished 4^th or better on their last run on the flat (all within the last 11-28 days).None of the previous winners had carried more than 9st 1lb. Trainer to watch: K Reveley (won 2005).
  

Wed 22nd June - Trendsetters Guide  
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential winners in the current year's races. Brief details are listed below where they have been run at least three times before. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race.

• 2.00 - 5f Maiden for 2yo (Favourites record 60%): Generally a good race for favourite backers although we saw a surprise 25/1 winner last year and a 20/1 shot also won in 2004. If looking at the better backed horses (9/2 or shorter) best also to look for a 2nd/3rd/4th place on last run.Trainers to watch: T Easterby & B Smart (2 wins each sine 2004).
• 2.30 - 6f Maiden for 2yo (38%): Whilst the favourites record is weaker than the first race 2nd/3rd favourites also fare well with just one winner since 2002 having odds of more than 5/1. 4/9 winners were making their racecourse debuts and the remainder all finished 5th or better on their last run. Trainer to watch: M Johnston (2 wins since 2005).
• 3.05 - 1m Handicap (25%): Only run four times before with all winners to date finishing 3rd or better on last run (all within 9-27 days) and all finished 5th or better on last two runs. No major surprises to date with winner's odds all 10/1 or less.
• 3.35 - 1m 'Carlisle Bell' Handicap (18%): Only 1/10 winners failed to finish 3rd or better on at least one of last two runs. A last run in the previous33 days was a common factor for all past winners. Of the last 5 winners all had odds of 9/1 or greater. The last 4 winners came out of either of the two highest numbered stalls (allowing for changes in stall numbering this year). Trainer to watch: GA Swinbank (2 wins since 2005).
  
• 4.10 - 1m 4f 'Cumberland Plate' Handicap (0%): 9/10 winners finished 3rd or better on at least one of their last two races. A last run within 38 days is also a common featuture. 4&5yo is the preferred age band with 7/10 winners seen. In the betting 7/10 winners had odds of 9/1 or more.
• 4.40 - 7f (filles) Handicap (0%): Race only run 5 times before and whilst one 20/1 winner seen the rest were fairly well backed at 13/2 or shorter. A 4th plae or better on either of last two runs was seen for 4/5 past winners. A last run within 30 days was also a common feature. Trainer to watch: T Easterby (2 wins in last 3 years).
• 5.15 - 5f Handicap (25%): Only run 4 times before in current format. Few common trends to date although all had a 6th placed run or better on at least one of last three runs and all last ran 11-27 days earlier.

13th June - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-10) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist race goers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race.


 

• (1.45) 6f Maiden for 2yo (Fav 75%): 3/4 past races were won by favourites which had finished 2^nd on their latest run within the last 28 days.Last year however saw this trend shattered as a previously unraced horse won at 40/1! Trainers to watch: T Easterby (won 2008) & B Smart (2007).
  

• (2.15) 1m 1f Claimer (10%): The last 5 winners were all reasonably backed at odds of 7/1 or shorter although 2nd/3rd favourites seem to fare best in this race.A 5th place or better on last two runs was also a common feature in all 5 past winners of the race. All winners also had a recent run within the last 29 days. Trainer to watch: T Waggott (won 2006).
  

• (2.45) 1m Handicap for 4yo+ (10%): Only run 5 times before with relatively few common trends to date. All had however finished 6^th or better on at least one of last two runs but none had finished better than 3^rd on their last three races. Apprentice jockeys have ridden 3 or the past 5 winners.Trainers to watch: E Tuer (won 2010), R Whittaker (2009) & GA Swinbank (2008).
  

• (3.15) 7f Handicap for 3yo fillies (22%): Six of the nine past winners had a 3rd placed or better on at least one of last two runs with all nine having a 6th place or better on at least one of last two races. All had a recent run within the last 35 days. Trainer to watch: A Duffield (won 2007).

• (3.45) 5f Handicap (12%): Only run 4 times before with all past winners to date finishing 5^th or better on last run (within the last 14 days).

• (4.15) New Race in 2010.
  

• (4.45 & 5.15) 6f Handicap (23%):  9/10 past winners were aged between 4-6 years. All winners had finished 5th or better on at least one of last three races. Apprentice jockeys have ridden 5 of the last 9 winners. Historically a very open race with 7/10 winners' odds being 10/1+ Trainers to watch: R Barr (won 2010), B McTaggart (2009 - with Hansomis who runs again this year), C Fairhurst (2005).

Whit Monday

• (2.20) 5f Maiden for 2yo (Fav 63%): All eight past winners were well backed at odds of 4/1 or shorter. 4/8 winners were making their racecourse debuts whilst all others had finished 5^th or better on their last race.  Trainer to watch: M Johnston (won in 2005, 2006 & 2008).

• (2.55) 6f Handicap (Fav 0%): All seven past winners were aged between 4-6 years with 4yo winning the last 5 times. All but one winner had last raced within 19 days.
  

• (3.30) 1m 4f Handicap (Fav 25%); Only run four times before with all winners aged 4/5 years. A last run 11-22 days earlier was also a common feature. Longest winners odds was 9/1.

• (4.05) 1m Handicap (Fav 33%): Only run 3 times before with all to date carrying a weight between 8st 5lbs & 8st 12lbs. A last run in previous 21 days (finishing 6th or better) was also a common feature.
  

• (4.40) 5f Handicap (Fav 0%): Usually a trappy race to find the winner with all 8 past winners having SP's of 7/1 or higher .  Only 1/8 winners carried less than 9st 1lb.
  

• (5.15) 1m 1f Handicap (16%): Only run 6 times before with all winners finishing 6^th or better on last run (all within the last 43 days).
  

Monday 24th May

• 2.30 - 5f Maiden for 2yo (11%): The last seven winners were all making their racecourse debuts and whilst the last two were well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter there weren't many other clues in the betting for the other newcomers. The last seven winners were all trained in Yorkshire or the North East with JH Johnson being the trainer to watch with wins in 2008 & 2009.
• 3.00 - 8f Claimer for 3yo+ (20%): No major shocks in this race with all winners odds being 7/1 or less. A 5th place or better on at least one of last two starts was a common factor. All past winners had a last run within the last 49 days.
• 3.30 - 8f Apprentice Handicap (0%): 7/9 winners of the race had odds in double figures with last years winner coming home at 125/1! Only one of these winners finished better than 5th on their last start. Whilst the last two winners carried less than 9st all others carried a higher weight. Trainer to watch: JJ Quinn (won 2007 & 2008).
• 4.00 - 9.5f Handicap for 3yo fillies (38%): 7/8 recent winners had a 5th place or better on at least one of last three runs. Only one winner carried less than 8st 12lbs. Trainers to watch: E Dunlop (won 2003 & 2004) & K Ryan (2005 & 2010).
• 5.00 - 6f Handicap (33%): Only run 3 times before with all previous winners carrying 9st or less and having a last run some 6-16 days earlier. Jockey to watch: D Allan (won both divisions in 2010).
  

Easter Saturday - Trendsetters Guide

Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least three
times. Hopefully these brief pointers will assist race goers at Carlisle today.
The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for
the race. Trainers who have won the race before are also highlighted if they had
an entry at the overnight declaration stage.

Just four races today that have been run at least three times before - they are:
.

(2.45) 3m 2f H/cap Chase (11%):Only last years favourite has won this race since
2001 . Past winners had all finished 6th or better on their last completed race
(all but one having run in the last 37 days). Ages of winners all between 7-11
years. Highest winning weight seen was 11st 9lbs with all but one carrying 11st
2lbs or less.


(3.20) 2m 4f Novice Chase (66%): Only 3 previous races run with all winners to
date well supported at odds of 3/1 or shorter. A last run 14-30 days earlier
finishing 5th or better was also a common feature. Two of the three winning
jockeys were carrying a 7lbs weight allowance.

(3.55) 3m H/cap Chase (18%): Favourites have a fairly weak record in this event
although longest winner's odds were ib 2010 at 12/1. Only one of the winners
since 2001 finished worse than 6th on their last start and all had last run
within the last 10-45 days. Trainer to watch: Mrs SJ Smith (won 2006 & 2010).

(4.30) 3m 2f Novice Handicap Chase (0%): Only 3 previous races run with all
winners to date easy to back at odds of 11/2 or greater. All aged 7/8 years and
carried a weight of 11st-11st 7lbs.

(5.00) 2m H/cap Chase (25%): Run six times before with all winners so far aged
between 6-8 years. They had all finished either 2nd/3rd/4th on last start
(within last 13-41 days). Lowest weight carried by winners was 10st 8lbs.Trainer
to watch: Ms LV Russell (won 2010)

(5.35) 3m Open Hunter Chase (33%): TFour of the last five winners were making
their seasonal debuts under NH rules (excludes PTP races). 4/6 winning jockeys
claimed a weight allowance.

Information supplied by www.northernracingclub.com

Thursday Mar 24th - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential winners in the current year's races. Brief details are listed below where they have been run at least three times before. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race. Trainers who have won the race before are also highlighted if they had an entry at the 5 day declaration stage.

Just two races today that have been run at least three times before - they are:

(4.35) 3m Nov H/cap Chase (28%): Only 7 previous races with all but one of the winners well backed at odds of 4/1 or shorter. All had finished 1st/2nd/3rd on last completed run. Trainer to watch: Mrs SJ Smith (won 2005 & 2009).
 
(3.30) 3m Novice Chase (50%): Race just run 4 times before with all winners at odds of 10/3 or shorter. All had finished 1st/2nd on last completed race and all had last run within last 29 days.
 
(5.10) 2m H/cap Chase (0%): Only run three times before with all past winners well backed at odds of 3/1 to 5/1. A last run some 10-38 days earlier was also a common trait. Trainers to watch: Mrs SJ Smith (won 2009) & Mrs D Sayer (won 2010, with Troodos Jet, also entered again this year)

Sunday Mar 20th - Trendsetters Guide
 
Previous race trends (2001-2010) can often help provide a shortlist of potential winners in the current year's races. Brief details are listed below where they have been run at least three times before. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite's strike rate for the race. Trainers who have won the race before are also highlighted if they had an entry at the 5 day declaration stage.

Just three races today that have been run at least three times before - they are:

(3.00) 2m4f Beginners Chase (25%): Only 6 previous races with all but one of the winners well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter. 5 of the 6 had finished 2nd/3rd on last start.
 
(3.30) 3m Novice Chase (50%): Race just run 4 times before with all winners at odds of 10/3 or shorter. All had finished 1st/2nd on last completed race and all had last run within last 29 days.
 
(5.00) 2m1f NH Flat Race (67%): All past winners had either raced just once before or were making their debut. Of the 6 previous races all were won by either a 4 or 5 year old horse. Clearly a good favourites race with all winners odds at 9/1 or shorter. Trainers to watch:GA Swinbank (won 2010) D McCain Jr  (2007), Ms J Candlish (2006) & AC Whillans (2005).

TRENDSETTERS GUIDE MONDAY FEB 21st
 
The following races have been run at least three times in the last 10 years albeit this meeting has been badly affected by the weather in the past and the temporary closure of the hurdles track will reduce the trends profile in those races. The figure in brackets after the race details shows the favourites record in the race. Trainers with intended runners at the 5 day declaration stage are also highlighted if they have won the race previously.
 
(2.10) 2m4f Nov Hurdle (25%): Unusually, for a non handicap the favourites record in this race has been quite weak albeit only one of the four winners had odds greater than 3/1. All past winners aged between 5-7 years (7yo have the best record with 3/4 wins) and had last raced some 13-44 days earlier.  Trainer to watch: D McCain Jr (won 2007).
 
(3.10) 2m1f H/cap Hurdle (0%): A blank race for favourites in the three previous runnings of this race since 2001. Past trends have favoured horses towards the bottom of the handicap. Other trends are that all past winners were aged 8 or older and all had been rested at least 13 days since last run. Conditional jockeys also fare well in this race having ridden 2/3 recent winners.
 
(3.40) 3m4f H/cap Chase (0%): Only three past races again for this race. To date all winners were aged 7/8 years, finished 4th or better on last completed run and last raced some 27-45 days earlier. A weight at or below 11st 2lbs also carried by all previous winners. Two past winners of the race were entered at the 5 day stage: See You There (Ms LV Russell) won in 2007 & Overlady (JP Ewart) won in 2009.
 
(4.40) 2m4f H/cap Chase (25%): Race run over slightly longer trip in 2009 but reverts to historic trip again today. The four previous winners were all in reasonable form having finished 3rd or better on at least one of last two runs. A run within the last 80 days was also a common trend. Highest winning weight was 11st 9lbs.