TRENDSETTERS GUIDE - Nov 29th

Previous race trends (1999-2008) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least twice - hopefully these brief pointers will assist race goers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite’s strike rate for the race. Trainers who have won the race before are also highlighted if they had an entry at the 5 day stage.

12.55 2m1f Novice Hurdle (50%); Six of the last 8 winners had odds of 5/2 or shorter so generally pays to watch the betting market. Half of the past winners came from the 4yo age group. Trainers to watch; JH Johnson (won 2005), NG Richards (2003).

1.25 2m4f Novice Hurdle (14%): Past races have been poor for favourites with all but one winner having odds of 7/1 or greater. The age group to follow has been 5yo horses with 5/7 wins. Apart from one unraced winner in 2005 the remainder had last run some 11-26 days earlier. Trainers to watch; JH Johnson (won 2007), JP Ewart (2005)

2.00 2m4f Novice Chase (63%): Six of the last seven winners had won their last race with the other finishing 3rd LTO. All past winners were aged 6/7 years with 6yo holding the sway. With a strong favourites record in the race it is not surprising to find that the last seven winners all had odds of 11/4 or shorter. Trainers to watch; JH Johnson (won 2007), Miss LV Russell (2004) and F Murphy (1999).

2.30 3m Handicap Chase (50%); Only run four times before with all winners aged 7/8 yrs with 7yo having the edge so far. No major shocks in this event with longest winning sp being 6/1. Highest weight carried by a winner is 11st 8lbs. Trainers to watch; J O'Neill (won 2007), JH Johnson (2004).

3.05 2m1f Handicap Hurdle (28%); All past winners were aged 7yrs or younger with all also rested at least 17 days since last run. Six of the last seven winners had finished 3rd or better on last completed run with three winners pulling up last time out. Trainers to watch; Miss SE Forster (won 2007), JH Johnson (2005).

3.35 2m4f (Amateur Riders) Handicap Hurdle (28%); All past winners had finished 5th or better on last outing. Oldest winner seen aged 9yrs. Whilst race often attracts a large field the longest winning odds seen were 10/1. Highest weight carried by past winners was 11st 3lbs. Trainers to watch; Miss SE Forster (won 2003), JH Johnson (2002), Mrs A Naughton (2001) and Mrs D Sayer (1999).


Information supplied by http://www.northernracingclub.com/CarlisleTrends.htm

TRENDSETTERS GUIDE - Nov 9th

Previous race trends (1999-2008) can often help provide a shortlist of potential
winners in the current year's races where they have been run at least twice - hopefully these brief pointers will assist race goers at Carlisle today. The figure in brackets after the race details is the favourite’s strike rate for the race. Trainers who have won the race before are also highlighted if they had an entry at the 5 day stage.

12.50 3m1f Novices Hurdle (63%):Generally a good race for favourite backers. Last 8 winners finished 3rd or better LTO with six of them winning on their last start.All but one had run in current season (within last 8-23 days). Last four renewals were all won by 5 year old horses. Trainers to watch: JH Johnson (won 2006), C Grant (2004), F Murphy (2003), G Swinbank (1999)

1.20 2m Beginners Chase (28%); 6 year old horses have won on 5/7 occasions in this event. Favourites have a modest record although only one winner since 2001 had odds greater than 6/1. Trainers to watch: N Richards (won 2008), JH Johnson (2007), F Murphy (2003), JM Jefferson (2002).

1.55 Graduation Chase over 3m (n/a); New distance this year. At shorter trips all past winners had odds of 11/4 or shorter. Trainer to watch: N Richards (won 2006 & 2008).

2.25 2m4f Novices H/cap Hurdle (25%); Few shocks in this race with all past winners at odds of 9/1 or shorter. Trainers to watch: GM Moore (won 2006), Miss LV Russell (2004).

2.55 2m4f H/cap Chase (0%); Whilst there has been no winning favourite in this race since 1998 all winners since 2000 were well supported at odds of 11/2 or shorter.All past winners had finished 6th or better on at least one of their last two outings. Trainers to watch: AD Brown (won 2008), N Richards (2007 & 2006), J O'Neil (2000).

3.30 3m2f H/cap Chase (33%); The last seven races were all won by either 7 or 8 year old horses. All past winners had finished 5th or better on at least one of last two completed runs. Few surpise winners in this race with all having odds of 13/2 or shorter. Trainers to watch: Mrs SJ Smith (won 2007 & 1999), JH Johnson (2006), F Murphy (2001).

4.00 2m1f H/cap Hurdle for Conditional Jockeys (8%); This race has been fairly unkind to favourites in the past although all but one winner had odds of 10/1 or shorter. All 6 past winners had finished 6th or better on their last completed run. Only one past winner had carried more than 11st 3lbs.


Information supplied by http://www.northernracingclub.com/CarlisleTrends.htm