GLORIOUS GOODWOOD 10 YEAR TRENDS
The following notes may help readers to draw up short lists for the races in this year's major July flat meeting. The race order is as run in 2007 and after each race name/detail a figure in brackets represents the favourites win percentage record in the race.
1M 2F HANDICAP (10%); A 5th place or better LTO was seen in 9/10 winners having last run within previous 41 days. 4yo have the best record with 6 wins followed by 5yo with 3 wins with oldest winner aged 6yrs. M Johnston & M Channon are leading trainers with 2 wins each. A middle draw seems best. Lucky stall #8 (3 wins).
1M 4F GRP 3 GORDON STAKES (15%); A 4th place or better LTO was seen in 9/10 winners and most had won at least once on last four outings. J Dunlop & M Stoute are leading trainers with 2 wins each. All last raced 19-58 days earlier.
7FURL GRP 2 LENNOX STAKES (12%); All winners aged between 3-5yrs and last raced 17-45 days earlier generally finishing 6th or better. G Butler & S Bin Suroor are leading trainers with 2 wins each. Middle-high draw appears preferable.
5 FURL GRP 3 MOLECOMB STAKES (30%); All but one had last race 10-38 days before. Majority of past winners had finished 3rd or better on last outing. M Channon & W Haggas are leading trainers with 2 wins each.
1M 6F HANDICAP (30%); M Johnston is leading trainer with 3 wins in the last 6 years. All winners last raced 17-45 days before. No winner aged more than 5yrs. 8/10 winners had finished 6th or better on last outing.
6 FURL MAIDEN FOR 2YO (43%); M Tregoning is leading trainer with 3 wins. Most has raced only once finishing 4th or better on debut within the last 8-47 days. Lucky stall #1 - 3 wins.
1 MILE HANDICAP (25%); D Nicholls is leading trainer with 2 wins. Six winners won their last race with 9/10 winners finishing 5th or better LTO having last raced 2-39 days earlier. 4yo have the best record with 5/10 wins.
2M 5F HANDICAP (35%); J Given is leading trainer with 2 wins. 9/10 winners were 4th or better on last outing. 4 year olds are preferred age group with 6/10 wins followed by 5yo with 3 wins and no winner was aged older than 7yrs. All last raced within 5-43 days earlier. Lucky stall #2 - 3 wins.
7 FURL GR 2 VINTAGE STAKES (40%); M Johnston, M Tregoning & S Bin Suroor are leading trainers with 2 wins each. 9/10 winners finished 1st LTO with the other finishing 2nd on only outing. Last run usually between 11-34 days earlier. The race has thrown up past winners who have gone onto 3yo classic success in Dr Devious, Mister Baileys and Sir Percy since 1991. Lucky stalls # 2&3 - 3 wins.
1 MILE GRP 1 SUSSEX STAKES (25%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 3 wins. A 1st/2nd place LTO was seen for all winners. Three year olds have a good record with 5/10 wins. A middle-high draw seems preferable.
1M 4F HANDICAP 3YO (10%); All had finished either 1st/2nd on one or more of last three outings. A last run 18-60 days earlier also seen for all winners. M Stoute is leading trainer with 3 wins.
1M 1F FILLIES HANDICAP (50%); All last ran within 11-32 days. 3 year olds fare best with 7/10 wins. Lucky stall #2 - 3 wins.
6 FURL MAIDEN (FILIES) FOR 2YO (55%); J Dunlop is the leading trainer with 4 wins, with B Hills supplying 2 winners. No winner had raced more than once (finishing 5th or better) with 3 making their debuts. Longest SP was 5/1 so best following the money in this event! Lucky stall #1 - 3 wins.
7 FURLONG CONDITIONS STAKES (43%); All last raced 7-42 days earlier with none actually winning LTO. 3yo fare best in this event with 5/8 wins and oldest winner aged 6yrs. A middle draw seems best avoided with all past winners coming from a low draw (3 or lower) or from the highest stall number in the race.
1M 6F LILY LANGTREE STAKES (0%); All five winners had finished 4th or better LTO as well as winning at least once on last three outings. Seb Sanders is the jockey to follow having ridden3 out of 5 winners (two of them for Lady Herries).
5 FURL GRP 3 KING GEORGE STKS (30%); A middle draw appears to be a disadvantage. Longest SP 10-1. All winners aged between 3-6 years old. All raced within last 4-42 days.
2 MILE GRP 3 GOODWOOD CUP (35%); M Johnston is the leading trainer with 3 wins in this event with D Ellsworth & M Stoute on 2 wins each. A last run at Royal Ascot has produced 9 winners (with only one winner of the Ascot equivalent following up here).
1M 2F HANDICAP 3YO (40%); A 1st/2nd run on either of last two outings was a common factor in 8/10 winners. All last raced within 2-23 days. In last 8 years a high draw has produced most winners. M Johnston is leading trainer with 3 wins, followed by J Gosden 2 wins.
7 FURL HANDICAP 3YO (0%) . A 6th place or better LTO was seen in 7/10 winners. A low draw (less than 8) seems a major disadvantage. Lucky stall #16 - 4 wins.
7 FURL MAIDEN (FILLIES) 2YO (45%); H Cecil & B Hills are leading trainers with 2 wins. There have been 5 unraced winners and 5 finishing 6th or better LTO. A middle-high draw is preferred.
5 FURL HANDICAP (40%); Race previously named after Zuhair who was responsible for 4 of D Nicholls 6 wins in the event. A middle-high draw seems essential. Lucky stall #17 - 3 wins.
1M 4F LISTED STKS 4yo+ (40%): M Johnston is the leading trainer with 3 wins followed by L Cumani on 2 wins. 4yo is the leading age group with 7 wins with all winners aged 6yrs or younger.
7 FURL GRP 3 OAK TREE STAKES (40%); Race has been dominated by 3yo’s with 7/10 wins. Last 9 winners finished 5th or better LTO. A medium-high draw seems to be a distinct advantage. Lucky stall #9 - 3 wins.
1 MILE ‘TOTESPORT’ HANDICAP (20%); Draw has large influence in this event with 8 drawn high and 2 middle. 4yo age group preferred with 6 wins and 5yo with 3 wins. A 6th place or better usually seen on last outing. Longest SP seen 14-1.
6 FURL GRP 2 RICHMOND STAKES 2YO (30%); Although field size moderate a middle-high draw seems essential. Only three winners finished worse than 2nd on last outing with all finishing 5th or better LTO. Last run usually within 11-34 days. J Gosden & P Chapple-Hyam are leading trainers with 2 wins. Lucky stall #6 - 4 wins.
7 FURL NURSERY HANDICAP FOR 2YO (23%); 8/10 winners finished 4th or better LTO. A middle-high draw seems an advantage.
6 FURL STEWARDS SPRINT HANDICAP (44%); D Nicholls (Flak Jacket three times) has won this race 5 times and will no doubt again have multiple entries in the race. All but one of the Nicholls winners raced 2 days earlier (other 9 days before) finishing in first 4 home. Only one winner since 1999 finished worse than 4th LTO.
5 FURL HANDICAP (15%); All but one winner had finished in first three on either of last two outings. Only three horses carried more than 8st 12lbs. Lucky stall #14 - 3 wins.
1M 3F H’CAP (0%): New race in 2005 with the three winners to date placed 3rd/4th LTO, and carrying between 8st 13lbs and 9st 4lbs.
1 MILE CONDITIONS STAKES for 3YO (20%); M Johnston is leading trainer in the race with 2 wins in 2006+2007 - both having run unplaced on the opening day of the meeting. A middle draw seems favoured in this race.
1M 2F GRP 2 NASSAU STAKES (60%); M Stoute is the leading trainer with three winners who all won first time out in current season as well. E Dunlop is next best with 2 wins. 3yo have taken 7/10 races. All winners last raced 20-57 days earlier and had won at least one of last two races.
6 FURL STEWARDS CUP HANDICAP (13%); Draw effect has seen 4 drawn high, 4 middle and 2 low - the favoured stall is number 19 having produced three of last seven winners. Most winners finished 1st/2nd on either of last two outings. Last run usually seen 6-56 days earlier. Preferred age groups are 4&5yo with oldest winner aged 6yrs. Last five winners well supported at 10/1 or shorter and with either 3 or 4 runs in current season seem to have been specifically trained for the race.
7FURL MAIDEN FOR 2YO (20%); Two debutant winners with most others finishing 2nd/3rd on either of last two races. A middle draw seems least favoured in this event. R Hannon is leading trainer with 3 wins followed by E Dunlop on two wins.
6 FURL NURSERY HANDICAP 2YO (30%); R Hannon is leading trainer with three wins with D Nicholls next best on two wins. All but one winner had finished 1st/2nd/3rd on either of last two outings. Lucky stall #6 - 3 wins.
1M 1F APP HANDICAP (50%); Restricted to apprentice jockeys since 2004. All four winners had finished 6th or better on at least one of last two outings and all last raced between 4-45 days earlier. A weight of 9st 2lbs+ is also a common theme. All well supported at odds of 7/1 or shorter.
A York Ebor trendsetters guide will be updated on the club web site next month for followers of these guides. | 
