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WEDNESDAY 22ND SEPTEMBER
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2.15 - 7f Maiden for 2yo (14%): 7 previous runnings of this event with race divided in 2007 & 2008. Of these winners 5 were placed 6th or better on latest run and two were making their racecourse debuts. Past trends suggest that a middle draw may be a disadvantage with these novices likely to be helped by a running rail. Trainers to win in the past include M Johnston (2007 - both divisions) and T Tate (2008). However using the above criteria Homeboy looks a reasonable choice, especially with 'champion elect' Paul Hanagan booked to ride. -
2.50 - 1m Nursery H/cap for 2yo (20%): Only run 5 times before and apart from last year's winning favourite the rest were all easy to back at 14-1 or longer. Weight range of winners has been between 8st 6lbs and 9st 5lbs and all also last ran within the previous 15-49 days. Sea The Flames may be an interesting ew alternative here. -
3.25 - 6f Handicap (25%): Race run 6 times before and tends to be an open affair. A last run 9-28 days earlier is a common trend as is a 6th place or better on at least one of last two races. Past winners all came from stall 13 or lower. Last year the race was divided and the divisions were won by trainer R Barr and T Easterby respectively and this year they send out 3 runners between them with all having a fair chance. Foreign Rhythm is marginally preferred based upon its more consistent form profile this season. Arch Walker is also worthy of mention. -
4.00 - 1m Claimer (0%): Race only run 4 times before with two key trends to consider (apart from favourites poor record). Firstly all four winners came from stalls 1-4. Of those drawn low today Sunnyside Tom is interesting but at 9/4 or lower offers little value and Charlie Cool is preferred as an ew alternative. The other common factor has been that the 4 past winners all raced some 7-15 days earlier and using this criteria Fremen looks best placed to run well again. -
4.35 - 1m 2f Handicap (20%): Race run 5 times before with common theme being a last run some 6-11 days earlier. Only two runners today have similar profiles being Eljaaz and Destiny Blue. Of these two the former is aged 9 years whilst past winners all aged between 3-5 years although weights of past winners all between 8st 11lbs & 9st 8lbs. Preference is for the Jamie Osborne trainer runner whose lower draw may be an advantage. -
5.10 - 1m 2f Seller (335): I have ignored races run before 2007 as these also appear in statistics for a similar race run on 13th Sept this year. Of the 3 past winners used all finished 5th/6th on last run of of today's runners I'd look to either Free As A Lark or Applaude to come out best of this modest bunch. -
5.40 - 5f Handicap (25%): Only run 4 times before with all winners last running some 6-28 days earlier and all coming from stall 8 or higher. A 6th place or better on at least one of last two runs is also a common feature and all carried a weight of 9st 5lbs or lower. Angelo Poliziano looks the best option using this criteria. -
6.10 - (see 2.50 race): Trainer J O'Keeffe won the race in 2005 and he bids for a repeat with Eduardo today. Rather Cool seems to be the danger.
Monday 13th September
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2.10 - 6f Maiden for 2yo (16%): M Johnston & C Brittain have both trained past winners in 2006 & 2004 respectively. However both have the stats against them this year as no unraced horse has won this event before and all other past winners had run within the last 68 days. With all 6 past winners coming from a leading yard (mainly in the south) Mon Visage may be a sporting ew selection for trainer C Wall. -
2.40 - 5f Nursery H/cap for 2yo (16%): In larger fields over this trip a double digit draw is often an advantage. P Midgely won this in 2007 and has two entered today and Tancred Spirit may fare best of these from the higher draw at a long price. However of those drawn higher Mini Bon Bon may be a safer option with the trainer in reasonable form at present. -
3.10 - 1m 1f Maiden for 2yo (66%): All 6 past winners had SP's of 4/1 or shorter thus it should pay to concentrate on the backed horses in this event. So far all the money is on Badeel and as the trainer won last year I'd not put people off backing it although the price is short enough for an unraced sort. M Johnston won the race in 2003 and is the only trainer to win the race with an unraced horse before and Ullswater at 6/1 may offer better e/w value. Of the other northern yards represented T Tate's horses are in fair form thus Defence Of Duress should also be considered. -
3.40 - 1m 2f Seller (25%): Past stats show that all 4 winners had odds of 8/1 or shorter albeit favourites record is only moderate. Winners ages were all 3 or 4 years. Draw nay also be a factor as all past winners came from one of the highest three stalls. Timocracy has been consistent in these races all year and its trainer is still in fair form thus I'd expect to be in the mix - however with the stats not ideal I'd not want to back at even money although I'd probably have in the placepot! The one I would prefer at the odds is Ra Junior which is available at around 11/2 and represents a more solid e/w option if re-finding early season form! -
4.10 - 1m 6f Handicap - New race in 2009. -
4.40 - 7f Maiden (38%): It usually pays to follow the money here with 7/8 past winners backed at 7/2 or shorter. Of the two currently within these odds Tomodachi is currently odds on to win the race although having not run this season the odds look skinny, especially as only two racecourse debutants have won before having not run in the current season. Next best is Tariq Too at around 11/4 although M Lane would have to be the first apprentice jockey to win the race! -
5.10 - 6f Apprentices Handicap (25%): Of the 6 past winners 4 had carried a weight of 8st 10lbs or less. All six had last run some 7-18 days earlier. Red River Boy fits both sets of criteria.
SUNDAY 18TH JULY
Only 2 races today have been run for at least 3 years previously - they are:
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2.10 - 7f Maiden for 2yo (50%): Just 2/10 past winners were making their racecourse debuts and of the remainder 6/8 finished 4th or better on their last run. In the betteing 7/10 winners had odds of 5/1 or shorter. Drawfacts: Low 30%; Middle 50%; High 20%. Trainers to watch: R Fahey (won 2007), T Easterby (2001). -
3.10 - 5f Handicap for 3yo (40%): Run only 5 times before - usually with a very large field. All past winners had a last run some 7-23 days earlier and no winner carried a weight of more than 9st 5lbs. Drawfacts: Low 40%; Middle 40%; High 20%.
THURSDAY 1ST JULY None of today's races have been run for more than 2 years before.
FRIDAY 18TH JUNE
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(2.10) 7f Seller for 2yo (15%): Not a great race for favourites albeit last two have obliged with one being joint favourite. However 8/10 winners were reasonably backed at odds of 7/1 or shorter. Trainer to watch: N Tinkler (won 2002). Drawfacts: Low 30%, Middle 50%, High 20%. -
(2.45) 1m 2f Maiden for 3yo+ (33%): Only run 3 times before with all past winners being rested at least 28 days since their last run. Trainers to watch: M Johnston (won 2007 & 2009), G Swinbank (won 2008). Drawfacts: Low 33%, High 67%. -
(4.00) 6f H/cap (33%): No 3yo has won this race in the last 10 years. A last run some 5-21 days earlier is a common trend. Trainers to watch: R Fahey (Won 2005 & 2009), T Easterby (won 2002). -
(4.35) 1m 2f Claimer (30%): Lucayan Dancer will have plenty of local supporters having won at the course 3 times before including this race in 2009. However since then the horse has changed stables (from D Nicholls) and with the horse already the oldest to win the race at 9 years perhaps a more minor role is on the cards this year. Drawfacts: Low 30%, Middle 50%, High 20%. -
(5.10) 1m H/cap (33%): Race run 6 times before. Past winners all last raced some 9-18 days earlier and were well backed at odds of 5/1 or shorter. Weights carried by winners ranged from 8st 11lbs to 9st 13lbs. 4yo have the best record with 4/6 wins, with no 3yo winners seen to date. Drawfacts: Low 50%, Middle 16%, High 34%. -
(5.40) 5f Maiden H/cap (20%): Quite a few trends seem stacked against the likely favourite Fine Silk such as - poor favourites win record, all past winners rested at least 21 days since last run and max weight carried by past winners has been 9st 8lbs. Trainer to watch: A Berry (won 2007). Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 20%, High 40%.
TUESDAY JUNE 8TH
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(2.00) 6f Maiden for 2yo (50%): The favourite's record has tailed off over the last 5 years with only 1/5 winning the race. Two unraced horses have won here whilst of the others 7/8 had finished 4th or better on either of their last two races. Trainer to watch: M Channon (won 2002). Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 10%, High 50%. -
(3.00) 7f Handicap for 3yo (18%): Four of the last eight races have seen winners at odds of 16-1 or higher thus this is often a very trappy race to fathom. The last 7 winners had all raced within the last 27 days with 7/8 winners having finished 4th on at least one of their last three races. However none of the last 8 winners had won a race in recent times. Drawfacts: Low 50%, Middle 25%, High 25%. -
(3.35) 1m H/cap (60%): The favourite has won 3/5 past runnings of the race. Past winners to date were all aged between 4-6 years and all had finished 5th or better on at least one of their last three races. Trainer to watch: R Fahey (won 2009). Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 20%, High 40%. -
(4.45) 1m Maiden for 3-5yo (33%): Only 3 past races with mixed results - one long odds on winner with the other two both 25/1 shots! Only common factor to date has been a last run within the last 15-21 days. -
(5.15) 1m 2f H/cap for 3yo (30%): A race frequently won by horses with little recent form to speak of. Perhaps the best guide to the race will be the draw where we have seen four races with 15 runners since 2004 and three winners came from stall 15 and the other from stall 12 so a high draw seems preferred today. Drawfacts: Low 30%, Middle 20%, High 50%.
TUESDAY 1ST JUNE
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(2.30) 6f Maiden for 2yo (Fav 70%): An excellent record for favourites here. 4 past winners were making their racecourse debuts whilst the remainder had run just once before. Drawfacts: Low 50%, Middle 50%, High 0%. -
(3.00) 7f Seller for 3-5yo (30%): A race which often throws up a shock winner with 3/10 winners having odds of 25/1 or greater. 3Yo have a slighly worse record with just 2/10 wins.Trainers to watch: R Barr (won 2008), R Whittaker (won 2003). Drawfacts: Low 50%, Middle 10%, High 40%. -
(3.30) 1m 1f H/cap (45%): Only 2/11 winners had finished worse than 5th on their last race and only 1/11 had not run in the last 26 days. Trainers to watch: M Hammond (won 2004) & R Whittaker (won 2001 & 2005). Drawfacts: Low 45%, Middle 10%, High 45%. -
(4.30) 1m 2f Maiden (60%): We have seen 2 winners making a racecourse debut here whilst all others had finished 5th or better on at least one of last two runs. Trainers to watch: M Johnston 9won 2007 & 2009), B Hills (2001).Drawfacts Low 40%, Middle 40%, High 20%. -
(5.00) 6f H/cap (25%): Usually a fairly open race with only ¼ winning favourites to date. Past winners all retsed at least 11 days since last race. Trainers to watch: T Easterby (won 2008), K Ryan (won 2006). Drawfacts: Low 25%, Middle 50%, High 25%. -
(5.30) 6f AR H/cap (10%): A trappy finale on the card although as all past winners carried at least 10st 7lbs it may be worth concentrating on the top four in the weights? Only 1/10 winners were off the track for more than 23 days. Trainers to watch: R Barr (won 2009).Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 30%, High 30%.
MONDAY 31ST MAY
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(3.00) 1m 6f Mdn H/cap (Fav 20%): 9/10 past winners finished 6th or better on their last run (within last 13-27 days). Trainer to watch: M Johnston (won 2002 & 2006). Draw facts: Low 20%, Middle 50%, High 30%. -
(3.35) 1m 2f H/cap (66%): Run just 3 times at this distance. All winners finished 5th or better LTO (within last 12-18 days). Drawfacts: Low 33%, Middle 0%, High 66%. -
(4.10) 1m 2f Zetland Gold Cup (40%): 8/10 winners finished 4th or better LTO with all winners aged between 4-6 years. All but one winner had last raced within 26 days. Trainer to watch: M Stoute (won 2003 & 2010). Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 30%, High 30%. -
(4.45) 6f Maiden for 3yo (60%): 9/10 past winners had odds of 4/1 or shorter. Apart from last years winner the remainder had all finished 5th or better on at least one of last two races. Drawfacts: Low 70%, Middle 20%, High 10%. -
(5.20) 1m 6f H/cap (35%): Last 9 winners had all finished 5th or better on at least one of last two races. Most winners odds were 7/1 or shorter with longest SP seen being 10/1. Drawfacts: Low 40%, Middle 40%, High 20%.
EASTER MONDAY All races today have been run less than 3 times thus no trends are available for this meeting.

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