For All Meetings in 2010

The trendsetters guides will review the last 10 years races (minimum of 3 years) for common trends of the winners. Experience has shown that often such trends are repeated and as such this should help racegoers and punters alike draw up their shortlists of selections in each race.

The figure in brackets after the race details shows the favourites strike rate in the race and where a trainer has won the race before and has a horse declared at the overnight stage this will also be highlighted.



Sedgefield Racecourse Website

Northern RC Main Index



  WEDNESDAY 26TH MAY


  • (2.20) 2m 1f Nov Hurdle (Fav 60%): 3/5 winning favourites with one shock 40/1 winner and all others being well backed at odds of 100/30 or shorter. All winners to date were aged 5 years or older and all last raced within the l;ast 26 days. Apart from the surprise winner in 2008 the remainder had all finished 3rd or better on one of their last two races. Trainers to watch: G Swinbank (won 2007) & M Barnes (2008).

  • (2.50) 2m Nov Chase (Fav 66%): 2/3 winning favourites with all winners well backed at 3/1 or shorter. Ages of winners to date were all 6/7 years.

  • (4.00) 3m 3f H/cap Chase (Fav 25%): Only one winning favourite from the four past races. Past winners all rested at least 11 days since last race. A 1st/2nd place on at least one of last 3 races seen for all previous winenrs. Max winning weight carried has been 11st 8lbs.

  • (4.35) 2m 1f H/cap Hurdle (Fav 25%): Again only ¼ wins for the favourites here. Past winners had all finished 3rd or better on at least one of their last three races. Trainer to watch: M Todhunter (won 2009).

  • (5.35) 2m 1f Maiden NH Flat (Fav 33%): Favourites record is again modest with 1/3 wins. To date all winners had raced no more than once (includes one debutant) but they were all nibbled at in the betting with odds of 11/2 or shorter. Trainer to watch: G Swinbank (won 2009).

 WEDNESDAY 19TH MAY
 
 

  • (6.30) 2m 1f Nov Hurdle ( Fav 63%): 5/7 winners seen were either sole or joint favourites. All past winners had finished 4th or better LTO (within last 24 days) with 5/7 also winning their last race. 5Yo is the preferred age group with 5/7 wins. Trainer to watch: M Hammond (won 2005).

  • (7.00) 2m 4f Beginners Chase (Fav 50%): All 4 past winners had finished 2nd/3rd on their last race. No other common trends in this race.

  • (8.00) 2m 4f H/cap Chase (Fav 0%): Only run 3 times before but trends so far have been against favourites with winners odds all 5/1 or above. All had run within last 30 days and all had finished 4th or betetr on at least one of last two races. Heighest weight carried to date has been 11st 8lbs whilst oldest winner so far has been 8 years old. Trainers to watch: Mrs E Slack (won 2009) & J Wade (2007).

  • (9.00) 2m 6f H/cap Hurdle (Fav 66%): Again race run just 3 times before. All past winners had run within last 19 days and had finished 6th or better on at least one of last two races.

TUESDAY 27TH APRIL
 
(5.50) 2m4f Maiden Hurdle (0%): No winning favourite in the 3 previous runnings of this race although all were reasonably backed at odds of 11/2 or shorter. All had finished 4th or better on their last completed race. None of the past winners had been off the track for more than 63 days.
 
(6.20) 2m4f Selling Hurdle (33%): Again no major shocks yet in this race which has also been run thre times before. All past winners had finished 4th or better on at least one of their last two races. Conditional jockeys claiming a weight allowance had also ridden all 3 winners.
 
(7.20) Durham National - 3m4f Handicap Chase (25%): 8/10 past winners carried a weight of 11st 1lbs or less. Past winners all finished 5th or better on their last completed race. Trainers to watch: F Murphy (won in 2009 with Lucky Nellerie although its now 10 years since a horse won this race more than once), P Bowen (2007), J Wade (2006) and B Ellison (2002).
 
(7.50) 2m1f Handicap Hurdle (25%): Race run 4 times before with all winners aged 8 years or younger. Only one of the winners carried more than 11st 2lbs. All winners had been rested at least 17 days since their last race.

MONDAY 12TH APRIL
 
This is a new meeting thus no trends are available today.

FRIDAY 26TH MARCH
 
Just one race today which has been run at least 3 times before:
 
(2.30) 2m4f Nov Hurdle (60%): All 5 past winners had finished 3rd or better on their last completed run. Longest SP seen at 9/2. Trainer to watch : JH Johnson (won 2007).

TUESDAY 16TH MARCH
 
Whilst most eyes are on the festival today the winners at Sedgefield may be slightly easier to find? Here are the profiles for the races run at least 3 times befroe:
 
 (1.45) 2m4f Mares Nov Hdle (0%): Only run three times with all winners backed at 2/1 or shorter thus the 2nd favourite in the race may prrove better value. All placed 5th or better on last run.
 
(2.20) 2m4f maiden Chase (66%): All three past winners finished 4th or better on last run. All had raced at least 3 times in current season and none had been off the track for more than 189 days.
 
(3.35) 2m1f Nov H/cap Hurdle (16%): Highest weight carried by winners has been 11st 10lbs. 5/6 yo horses preferred with 7/8 wins between them. Several outsiders have won this race at odds of 16/1 or more so maybe worth having a small ew bet on an outsider as well as your main selection.
 
(4.15) 2m4f H/cap Chase (0%): All three past winners were 4/1 or greater. They all also had run 1st/2nd on at least one of last three runs. All had been rested at least 14 days since last outing. Trainer to watch: Mrs E Slack (won 2008|).
 
(5.25) 2m1f NH Flat Race (66%): Only three arces so far but all were well backed at 13/2 or shorter and were aged 4/5 years. Trainer to watch: G A Swinbank (won 2007 & 2008).

SUNDAY 7TH MARCH 2010
 
Today is a new fixture thus no past trends are available.

TUESDAY 9TH FEBRUARY 2010
 
Only two races today have been run at least 3 times before:
 
(2.10) 2m1f Nov Handicap Hurdle (33%): In the past those in middle of handicap (10st 2lbs to 11st 7lbs) have fared best. All had been rested at least 13 days since last run. All winners aged between
4-7yrs. Trainer to watch: R Johnson (won 2003).
 
(4.10) 2m Handicap Chase (28%): Those at very top or bottom of the weights have fared best in the past. No major shocks with all winners SP's being 9/1 or shorter albeit favourites record is fairly modest. All past winners were rested at least 6 days since last outing. Trainer to watch: T Walford (won in 2006 with Miss Pross who runs today).
 

TUESDAY 26TH JAN 2010
 
1.30 - 2M1F Novice Hurdle (80%): All five past winners had finished either 1st/2nd on last completed run and had last raced within 14-58 days. Trainers to watch: D McCain jr (won both divisions of race in 2009), F Murphy (won 2003).
 
2.00 - 3m3f Maiden Chase (21%): Of the last 7 winners one was unraced but of the remainder 5/6 were placed 4th or better on their last completed start. All had SP's of 15/2 or shorter. 7yo have the best record with 4/7 wins. Trainer to watch: F Murphy (won 2005 & 2006).
 
2.30 - 3m4f Handicap hurdle (33%): Five of the last six winners had at least one 1st/2nd place on their last three starts. All had last raced within 11-61 days. Trainers to watch: JH Johnson )won 2003, 2006) and Mrs H Graham (won 2002).
 
3.00 -  2m Handicap Chase (21%): Five of the last six winners had finished 5th or better on last completed run (within last 4-31 days) .9yo horses have the best record with 3/6 wins in the race. All past winners carried 10st 9lbs or greater. * Peter Beaumont will be saddling his last ever runner as a trainer  in this race (Fencote Mystery).
 
3.30 - Race status changed from a selling hurdle this year.
 
4.00 - 2m1f NH Flat Race (40%): Two of the last three winners had finished 1st/2nd on one of their first two bumper races whilst two others were unraced. It seems to pay to follw either proven form in earlier races or look to potential in unraced horses. The betting market should proove to be a useful guide as all past winners had odds of 6/1 or shorter.

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Sedgefield Trendsetters Guides

 

Information Supplied By Northern Racing Club

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